Humanist Association of Orange County - Newsletter for January 2006 
Issue #98 ( HTML format ) 
Editor: Benito Franqui
Associate Editor: Dave Silva

Send submissions and membership renewals to:
HAOC
2609 Fernside St.
Orange, CA 92865
benfranq@earthlink.net

Articles submitted for publication in the newsletter
must be received no later than 10 days before the
next HAOC meeting.
The Humanist Association of Orange County ( HAOC) is a chapter of the American Humanist Association.
Please visit our website at http://www.ochumanists.org

HAOC Board
President: Pete Anderson
Vice President: Dave Silva
Treasurer: Harry Becker
Secretary: Jerry Parks
Member at large: Carl Mariz
Member at large: Benito Franqui

NEXT HAOC MEETING
Sunday, January 15, 1:30 P.M.
The Great Debate - Does God Exist?
( A video presentation of a debate which took place at Stanford University on January 24, 2005 ).

This presentation will be split into two parts lasting 47 and 30 minutes. During a 15-minute intermission, attendees will have the opportunity to match their wits with those of renowned skeptic Michael Shermer by guessing which arguments Shermer will come up with in order to rebut the arguments presented by believer Douglas Geivett ( or viceversa ) during the first part.

Dr. Michael Shermer is the Founding Publisher of Skeptic magazine, the Director of the Skeptics Society, a monthly columnist for Scientific American, and the host of the Skeptics Distinguished Science Lecture Series at the California Institute of Technology. He was a professor for 19 years at Glendale College and Occidental College. He conducts research on the psychology of belief.  He is the author of Science Friction: Where the Known Meets the Unknown, The Science of Good and Evil: Why People Cheat, Gossip, Share Care, and Follow the Golden Rule, In Darwin's Shadow: The Life and Science of Alfred Russel Wallace, The Borderlands of Science, Denying History, How We Believe: Science, Skepticism, and the Search for God, and Why People Believe Weird Things. He is the editor of the Encyclopedia of Pseudoscience.

 Dr. Shermer received his B.A. in psychology from Pepperdine University in Malibu, California, M.A. in experimental psychology from California State University, Fullerton, and his Ph.D. in the history of science from Claremont Graduate University in California.

Dr. Douglas Geivett is Professor of Philosophy at the Talbot School of Theology, Biola University in La Mirada, California. Dr. Geivett's research interests include the philosophy of religion, philosophical theology, epistemology, and the history of modern philosophy. He is the author of Evil and the Evidence for God and co-editor of Contemporary Perspectives on Religious Epistemology and In Defense of Miracles: A Comprehensive Case for God's Action in History. Dr. Geivett has contributed chapters to God Matters: Readings in the Philosophy of Religion, God Under Fire: The Rationality of Theism, and Does God Exist? The Craig-Flew Debate. Dr.Geivett is the former president of the Evangelical Philosophical Society. In the past, Dr. Geivett has served as minister to college students at churches in the Pacific Northwest and in Southern California and continues to speak in churches and in university campuses on subjects related to apologetics and the Christian life.  

Dr. Geivett received a B.S. from Multnomah School of of the Bible, an M.A. from Dallas Theological Seminary, another M.A. from Gonzaga University, and his PH.D. from the University of Southern California. 

NEXT CFI-WEST MEETING
Jan. 15, 4:30 PM
Costa Mesa Neighborhood Community Center  
Robert Sheaffer: The Da Vinci Code Baloney

.The Da Vinci Code is a runaway bestseller and a forthcoming movie. This "factual novel" purports to reveal "the greatest conspiracy of the past 2000 years." It says that a secret society of leading intellectuals has allegedly been dedicated to preserving the astonishing secrets and traditions that organized religion has conspired to suppress.

CSICOP fellow Robert Sheaffer will share with us a skeptic's guide to what he calls "the Da Vinci Code Baloney." Sheaffer is one of the leading skeptical investigators of UFOs and a founding member of the UFO Subcommittee of CSICOP; a founding director and past Chairman pf the Bay Area Skeptics, and the author of UFO Sightings (Prometheus Books, 1998). He has appeared on many radio and TV programs. His writings and reviews have appeared in such diverse publications as OMNI, Scientific American, Spaceflight, Astronomy, The Humanist, Free Inquiry, Reason, and others. He is a regular columnist for Skeptical Inquirer.

The Costa Mesa Community Center is located at 1845 Park Avenue, Costa Mesa, California.
$6.00, or free for Friends of the Center
.

A Tale of Two Geniuses
By Benito Franqui
        Richard Wagner and Richard Feynman. One in music, the other in theoretical physics.
       One paid meticulous attention to every aspect of the creation and performance of hyper-complex musical dramas depicting supernatural events. The other cared only about natural events, and the only aspect of music he cared about was rhythm. He was always looking for the simplest way to explain hyper-complex natural phenomena.
       One was a holist/wholist, the other a reductionist.
       One was a nationalist who helped to pave the way for National Socialism, the other a rationalist who helped to undo National Socialism.
       One was a rabid anti-Semite, the other of Jewish ancestry.
       In spite of the history of German rationalism vs Jewish mysticism, the roles were in their cases reversed.
        One trait they did share was their engaging in adulterous relationships. Seems that in spite of their towering intellectual achievements, the ancient Naked Ape within each one of us still demanded to be given his share. Testosterone cuts both ways...
        The works of both have enriched our lives - even though Wagner's personal opinions helped to perpetuate certain harmful stereotypes which a Feynman-style rational analysis would have shown to be without any real basis.

The Global Consciousness Project
By Benito Franqui
 

From http://noosphere.princeton.edu/ : 

The Global Consciousness Project, also called the EGG Project, is an international and multidisciplinary collaboration of scientists, engineers, artists and others. This website introduces methods and technology and empirical results in one section, and presents interpretations and applications in another.

We have been collecting data from a global network of random event generators since August, 1998. The network has grown to about 65 host sites around the world running custom software that reads the output of physical random number generators and records a 200-bit trial sum once every second, continuously over months and years. The data are transmitted over the internet to a server in Princeton, NJ, USA, where they are archived for later analysis. Individual data create a tapestry of color. The dot below shows coherence. 

The purpose of this project is to examine subtle correlations that appear to reflect the presence and activity of consciousness in the world. The scientific work is careful, but it is at the margins of our understanding. We believe our view may be enriched by a creative and poetic perspective. Here we present various aspects of the project, including some insight into its scientific and philosophical implications.

Sounds really interesting, doesn't it? As well as scientific! But let's be cautious - as Feynman and Shermer would probably suggest.
    
From our earliest beginnings, we humans have been trying to detect meaningful patterns in what at first seemed to be nothing more than random noise. And for good reason - our survival often depended on detecting significant deviations from the norm. Decisions as to  when, where, how, what, or whom to live, hunt, cultivate, fight, collaborate with, or marry have always been crucial.

So the practice arose of studying natural phenomena such as the appearance of animal entrails,  bird flight patterns,  tea leaves, or shuffled decks of cards,  cloud formations, the motions and changes in luminosity of "heavenly" bodies,  etc.
 

Some of those studies yielded practical results: certain cloud formations may signal an approaching hurricane, and the study of the motions of the planets led eventually to the discovery of the laws of physics and the invention of the myriad devices which make modern life more enjoyable.  

But many other such studies have led nowhere. Recent examples include: trying to discern voices in blank audio tapes, "remote viewing" studies in which Stanford Research Institute was involved, and a study of the effect of prayer in which Columbia University was involved. So the participation of an otherwise reputable academic institution is no guarantee that the resulting research "findings" will be truly scientific. Scientists are not much more immune to the seductions of fame, power, and wishful thinking than the rest of us are.

So, while I find the idea of a global consciousness to be extremely appealing, let's not start rebuilding the altars to Gaia yet.

Some failed predictions
 
"Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific advances." -- Dr. Lee DeForest, Inventor of TV
"The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives." -- Admiral William Leahy, US Atomic Bomb Project
"There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom." -- Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923
"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." -- Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949
"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." -- Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
"640K ought to be enough for anybody." -- Bill Gates, 1981
"I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won't last out the year." -- The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957
"But what ... is it good for?" -- Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.
"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us," -- Western Union internal memo, 1876.
"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?" -- David Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s.
"The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible," -- A Yale University management professor in response to Fred Smith's paper proposing reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to found Federal Express Corp.)
"I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not Gary Cooper," -- Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading role in "Gone With The Wind."
"A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports say America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you make," -- Response to Debbi Fields' idea of starting Mrs. Fields' Cookies.
"We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out," -- Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.
"Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible," -- Lord Kelvin, president, Royal Society, 1895.
"If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The literature was full of examples that said you can't do this," -- Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M "Post-It" Notepads.
Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy," -- Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his project to drill for oil in 1859.
"Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." -- Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.
"Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value," -- Marechal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre.
"Everything that can be invented has been invented," -- Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899.
"The super computer is technologically impossible. It would take all of the water that flows over Niagara Falls to cool the heat generated by the number of vacuum tubes required." -- professor of electrical engineering, New York University
"I don't know what use any one could find for a machine that would make copies of documents. It certainly couldn't be a feasible business by itself." -- the head of IBM, refusing to back the idea, forcing the inventor to found Xerox
"Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." -- Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
"The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon," -- Sir John Eric Ericksen, British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria 1873.
and last but not least...
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." -- Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977